Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Stade d'Abidjan had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.04%), while for a Stade d'Abidjan win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.