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Cambridge United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Oxford United

Cambridge
4 - 1
Oxford Utd

Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')

Preview: Cambridge United vs. Oxford United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

There will be no boats involved on this occasion as the old city foes of Cambridge United and Oxford United meet in the first game of this season's EFL Trophy.

The League One pair will be joined in Southern Group H by League Two's Stevenage and Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s, with the top two progressing to the knockout rounds.


Match preview

Oxford United's manager Karl Robinson pictured with Cameron Brannagan on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Cambridge are still riding the momentum that saw them promoted from League Two last season and have shown plenty of confidence in their first few games in the third tier.

They come into this match on the back of two consecutive league victories - an impressive 3-0 win against promotion-chasing Burton Albion, followed by a 1-0 win at home to Bolton Wanderers on Saturday.

The U's grinded out the victory thanks to a Shilow Tracey goal after 16 minutes - his first for the club on his fifth appearance - and some well-drilled defending in a cagey affair.

That moves Cambridge up to 10th in the table, which is their highest position in the Football League rankings in over 20 years. Nonetheless, they will be taking on a team above them.

Oxford have come agonisingly close to promotion in the last two seasons, losing to Wycombe Wanderers in the playoff final in 2020 and then falling at the semi-final stage last campaign.

Karl Robinson will be hoping it is third time lucky for his side and they have started the campaign strongly, currently sitting third on 10 points.

After two consecutive losses - including being knocked out of the EFL Cup by Queens Park Rangers - the other U's bounced back with a strong win at home to Lincoln City.

James Henry was the hat-trick hero, with two strikes from distance in the first half and a penalty in the second securing a 3-1 victory.

The two Uniteds met in the opening game of the season, where they played out a 1-1 draw, but it is Oxford who have the better record in this fixture, winning three of the pair's last five meetings.

Cambridge United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Oxford United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Cambridge United were dealt a huge blow with club captain Greg Taylor suffering an injury that will see him miss a large portion of the season.

Conor Masterson was brought in on loan immediately from QPR to cover the defensive problem and has performed very well as part of the defensive line in a 4-2-3-1 setup.

Lloyd Jones returned to the starting XI against Bolton but Jubril Okedina and Leon Davies are still out injured.

Oxford striker Henry returned from a hamstring issue to fire in his hat-trick and will surely continue as part of a three-man midfield, most likely alongside Alex Rodriguez and former Liverpool academy prospect Cameron Brannagan.

Sam Long was fit enough for the bench against Lincoln and could feature on Tuesday, but it is probably still too early for Jamie Hanson and Derick Osei Yaw.

Cambridge United possible starting lineup:
Mitov; Williams, Jones, Masterson, Iredale; Digby, O'Neil; Brophy, Hoolahan, Tracey; Ironside

Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Stevens; Forde, Moore, Thorniley, Seddon; Henry, Rodriguez, Brannagan; Sykes, Whyte, Taylor


SM words green background

We say: Cambridge United 0-1 Oxford United

Both sides will want to avoid defeat in the opening fixture of this competition, but we are backing the away side to edge it. They have more experience and should be able to go one better than the draw on the opening day.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd

Cambridge United
25.9%
Draw
25.9%
Oxford United
48.3%
58
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