Cape Verde and Burkina Faso lock horns at the Paul Biya Stadium on Wednesday in gameweek two of the Africa Cup of Nations.
The sides head into the game in contrasting moods as Cape Verde opened their campaign with all three points, while Burkina Faso are looking to bounce back from a defeat last time out.
Match preview
© Reuters
Burkina Faso were narrowly beaten 2-1 by host nation Cameroon in their Group A curtain-raiser at Stade d'Olembe on Sunday.
Kamou Malo's men opened the scoring after 24 minutes through Gustavo Sangare, before Vincent Aboubakar converted two spot kicks in the space of eight minutes to turn the game on its head.
That was a first loss in nine outings for the Stallions, who have only little time to pick themselves up ahead of a crunch clash in Yaounde.
The west Africans will be taking on an opposing side on a run of back to back defeats in this fixture after winning each of the first three encounters.
Having not lost consecutive competitive games in over two years, Burkina Faso will back themselves to get their AFCON journey back on track with a positive result in this one.
Cape Verde saw off the threat of Ethiopia in a narrow 1-0 victory on Sunday to get off to the perfect start.
Julio Tavares was the star of the show as he opened the scoring on the brink of half time to hand Pedro Brito's men all three points.
The Blue Sharks have now won four of their last five games across all competitions since a 2-1 defeat to Nigeria last September.
A place in the knockout stages now beckons off the back of four straight group-stage exits, and Cape Verde will aim to get the job done as soon as possible.
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Team News
Cape Verde had to make do without the services of 11 of their 28 players last time out, with nine of them having tested positive for COVID-19.
Julio Tavares's winner on Sunday saw him climb up to fourth in his nation's all-time scoring charts, and the forward is now eight goals away from top spot.
Bertrand Traore recently became the latest Burkina Faso player to rack up 60 international caps, while only eight of his compatriots in history have featured on more occasions.
Twenty-year-old Abdoul Tapsoba could drop to the bench for this one after he showed signs of rustiness in his first start since returning from injury.
Cape Verde possible starting lineup:
Rosa; Stopira, Lopes, S. Fortes; D. Tavares, Santos, Borges, J. Fortes; Rodrigues, J. Tavares, Monteiro
Burkina Faso possible starting lineup:
Koffi; Malo, Yago, Dayo, Kabore; Toure, Guira, Sangare; Konate, Bayala, Traore
We say: Cape Verde 1-1 Burkina Faso
Cape Verde know that avoiding defeat here would put them in pole position to make it through to the last 16, while Burkina Faso will be desperate to come away with all three points. We expect a feisty and tense affair with both teams having to settle for a point apiece.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Eq Guinea
Nigeria
Ivory Coast
Guinea-Bissau
Cape Verde
Egypt
Ghana
Mozambique
Senegal
Guinea
Cameroon
Gambia
Angola
Burkina Faso
Mauritania
Algeria
Mali
South Africa
Namibia
Tunisia
Morocco
Congo DR
Tanzania
Zambia
