Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Gradski stadion
Backa Topola1 - 4Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Backa Topola 0-2 Braga (Braga win 5-0 on aggregate)
Even with a few alterations anticipated on Braga's end, the Portuguese powerhouses proved too strong for Backa Topola in the first leg, which should again be the case at the TSC Arena. The margin of victory may not be as emphatic some 1,800 miles away from home, but Jorge's rejigged side should have no problem notching another couple of goals en route to the playoff round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Backa Topola | Draw | Braga |
23.97% ( 0.05) | 23.69% ( 0.02) | 52.34% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.88% ( -0.04) | 46.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.58% ( -0.04) | 68.42% ( 0.04) |
Backa Topola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.64% ( 0.03) | 33.36% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.02% ( 0.03) | 69.98% ( -0.02) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.4% ( -0.04) | 17.6% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.82% ( -0.07) | 48.18% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Backa Topola 23.97%
Braga 52.34%
Draw 23.68%
Backa Topola | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 23.97% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.34% |
How you voted: Backa Topola vs Braga
Backa Topola
8.3%Draw
8.3%Braga
83.3%24
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:59:04
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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