Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

(Benfica win 5-0 on aggregate)

Otamendi (27'), Silva (40'), Neres (42')
Musa (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Shaparenko (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Dynamo Kiev, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Braga	3	8	7
3	Benfica	2	5	6
4	Portimonense	3	3	6

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dnipro-1	0	0	0
3	Dynamo Kiev	0	0	0
4	FC Lviv	0	0	0

We said: Benfica 2-0 Dynamo Kiev

Benfica head into Monday's matchup as one of the most in-form sides in the qualifiers and will look to pick up where they dropped off in the reverse leg. They are currently firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to pick up another comfortable win, sealing their place in the Champions League group stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
60.15% ( -0.02)	24.12% ( -0.01)	15.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 41.06% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

0.07)

57.92% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

0.05)

78.62% (

-0.05)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

0.02)

19.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.28% (

0.03)

50.72% (

-0.03)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.76% (

0.08)

49.24% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87% (

0.06)

84.13% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Benfica 60.15%

Dynamo Kiev 15.72%

Draw 24.12%

Benfica	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.72%