Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Olimpisky National Sports Complex

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 2
Benfica

(Benfica win 5-0 on aggregate)

Andrievsky (40')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gilberto (9'), Ramos (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:

Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	14	30	35
2	Dynamo Kiev	14	28	35
3	Zorya Luhansk	14	17	29

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	2	5	6
2	Benfica	2	5	6
3	Boavista	2	2	6

We said: Dynamo Kiev 1-2 Benfica

With just 180 minutes separating Dynamo Kiev and Benfica from a place in the Champions League group stages, we expect a thrilling contest, with both sides taking the game to each other in search of a vital first-leg win. The Portuguese side head into the tie firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to maintain their fine run and see off the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Benfica
17.03% ( 0.01)	23.47% ( -0.01)	59.49% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29% (

0.03)

53.71% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

0.02)

75.19% (

-0.03)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.01% (

0.02)

44.99% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

0.02)

80.92% (

-0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

0.01)

17.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.52% (

0.02)

48.47% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Kiev 17.03%

Benfica 59.49%

Draw 23.47%

Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.03%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 13.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.49%