Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz1 - 2Dynamo Kiev
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, August 3 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 3 at 7pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 14 | 30 | 35 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
We say: Sturm Graz 1-1 Dynamo Kiev (Dynamo Kiev win 2-1 on aggregate)
This game could certainly go either way, and Sturm Graz should be going all out for an equaliser and a winner on home turf, but we think the Ukrainian side have enough to hold their opponents and maintain an aggregate lead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
49.62% ( 0.1) | 25.94% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
