Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Boavista | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Boavista | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Benfica 3-0 Arouca
Benfica have been near-impenetrable in recent weeks and will fancy their chances against an opposing side who have lost each of the last six meetings between the teams. While we expect the visitors to put up a good fight, we are backing AS Aguias to extend their dominance in this fixture and pick up a comfortable opening-day victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.88%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
73.88% ( -0.07) | 16.02% ( 0) | 10.11% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
