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Arouca
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Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Arouca

Benfica
4 - 0
Arouca

Gilberto (8'), Silva (42', 86'), Fernandez (45+6')
Luis (55'), Weigl (82'), Silva (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Opoku (1')
Quaresma (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:
    Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
    Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League

    Arouca

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
      Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

      We said: Benfica 3-0 Arouca

       Benfica have been near-impenetrable in recent weeks and will fancy their chances against an opposing side who have lost each of the last six meetings between the teams. While we expect the visitors to put up a good fight, we are backing AS Aguias to extend their dominance in this fixture and pick up a comfortable opening-day victory. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.88%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 10.11%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

      Result
      BenficaDrawArouca
      73.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 16.02% (0.0039999999999978 0) 10.11% (0.067 0.07)
      Both teams to score 50.22% (0.281 0.28)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      63.16% (0.221 0.22)36.84% (-0.215 -0.22)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      40.99% (0.23999999999999 0.24)59.01% (-0.235 -0.23)
      Benfica Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      91.45% (0.040999999999997 0.04)8.55% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      70.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.57% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
      Arouca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      54.91% (0.284 0.28)45.09% (-0.279 -0.28)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      19% (0.226 0.23)81% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)
      Score Analysis
          Benfica 73.87%
          Arouca 10.11%
          Draw 16.02%
      BenficaDrawArouca
      2-0 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
      3-0 @ 9.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
      1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.083 -0.08)
      2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
      3-1 @ 7.61% (0.019 0.02)
      4-0 @ 5.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
      4-1 @ 4.68% (0.02 0.02)
      3-2 @ 3.03% (0.032 0.03)
      5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      5-1 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
      4-2 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
      6-0 @ 1.19%
      6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
      5-2 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
      Other @ 2.6%
      Total : 73.87%
      		1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
      2-2 @ 3.7% (0.032 0.03)
      Other @ 0.91%
      Total : 16.02%
      		0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
      1-2 @ 3.01% (0.02 0.02)
      0-2 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
      2-3 @ 0.98% (0.016 0.02)
      Other @ 1.83%
      Total : 10.11%

      How you voted: Benfica vs Arouca

      Benfica
      88.2%
      Draw
      11.8%
      Arouca
      0.0%
      17
      Head to Head
      Jan 21, 2022 7pm
      Arouca
      0-2
      Benfica

      Adilio (46'), Moreira (56'), Quaresma (90+1'), Ba (90+3'), Kouassi (90+5')
      Nunez (32' pen.), Ramos (90+2')
      Grimaldo (43')
      Aug 14, 2021 6pm
      Benfica
      2-0
      Arouca
      Waldschmidt (38'), Yaremchuk (44')
      Rodrigues (85')

      Hugo Silva Braga (8')
      Feb 10, 2017 8.30pm
      Benfica
      3-0
      Arouca
      Mitroglou (25', 35'), Carrillo (49')
      Ederson (42')

      Adilson (30'), Tomane (52')
      Sep 9, 2016 8.30pm
      Arouca
      1-2
      Benfica
      Gonzalez (57')
      Santos (37'), Crivellaro (37'), Gege (63'), Zequinha (73'), Coelho (86'), Bernardes (91')
      Semedo (16'), Lopez (51')
      Jardel (57'), Pizzi (63'), Semedo (76'), Lopez (80')
      Jan 23, 2016 6.30pm
      Benfica
      3-1
      Arouca
      Pizzi (3'), Mitroglou (19'), Jonas (67')
      Almeida (7')
      Velasquez (91')
      Velasquez (77')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Benfica1512213782938
      2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
      3Porto1512123692737
      4Braga1584327161128
      5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
      6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
      7Casa Pia155551618-220
      8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
      9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
      10Gil Vicente154561724-717
      11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
      12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
      13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
      14AVS152761122-1113
      15Nacional153481021-1113
      16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
      17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
      18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
      > Primeira Liga Full Table


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