Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
1 - 1
PSG

Pereira (41' og.)
Fernandez (45'), Ramos (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Messi (22')
Fabian (90+1'), Neymar (90+1'), Verratti (90+4')

Manchester United 'scout Benfica defender Antonio Silva against Paris Saint-Germain'

Manchester United had scouts at Benfica's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain last week to watch Antonio Silva, according to a report.

Oct 9, 12:19

Lionel Messi in action for Paris Saint-Germain on August 13, 2022

Lionel Messi sets fresh Champions League scoring record

Lionel Messi sets a new Champions League scoring record after finding the net in Paris Saint-Germain's 1-1 draw away against Benfica on Wednesday night.

Oct 6, 17:14

Lionel Messi celebrates scoring for Paris Saint-Germain against Benfica on October 5, 2022

Paris Saint-Germain held by Benfica despite Lionel Messi stunner

Paris Saint-Germain's perfect run in Champions League Group H comes to an end as they are held to a 1-1 draw by Benfica at the Estadio da Luz.

Oct 5, 21:57

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Benfica
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nice
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Benfica 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

It may require a moment of magic to decide this contest between two unbeaten heavyweights, both of whom underwhelmed at the weekend, and Benfica are not to be taken lightly on home turf. While PSG's defence is prone to the odd loss of concentration, Galtier's front three are capable of conjuring up game-defining moments on a whim, and we expect the French champions to just about edge a tight contest in Lisbon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
40.44% ( -0.03)	22.12% ( 0.04)	37.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.85% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.69% (

-0.2)

31.31% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.25% (

-0.24)

52.75% (

0.24)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

-0.1)

16.39% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

-0.18)

46.04% (

0.18)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

-0.09)

17.65% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.73% (

-0.16)

48.26% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Benfica 40.44%

Paris Saint-Germain 37.44%

Draw 22.12%

Benfica	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 40.44%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.44%