Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 4 | 9 | 12 |
2 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Arouca | 4 | -8 | 6 |
11 | Vizela | 4 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
77.21% (![]() | 14.35% (![]() | 8.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.83% (![]() | 34.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.94% (![]() | 56.05% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.78% (![]() | 7.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.81% (![]() | 26.19% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.3% (![]() | 46.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.74% (![]() | 82.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.64% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.2% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 77.2% | 1-1 @ 6.75% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 14.35% | 1-2 @ 2.57% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 8.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |