MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:06:53| >> :60:226:226:
Benfica
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Red Bull Salzburg

Benfica
0 - 2
Salzburg


Trubin (2'), Silva (54'), Otamendi (69')
Silva (13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simic (15' pen.), Gluh (51')
Gourna-Douath (21'), Baidoo (58'), Simic (67'), Koita (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Salzburg
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg do have the tools to cause any side problems, but we see a trip to the Estadio da Luz being a step too far and anticipate Benfica making their superior quality and experience count for a victory in their group curtain-raiser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
52.2% (-0.231 -0.23) 23.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.76% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (0.233 0.23)42.48% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (0.232 0.23)64.89% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.319 0.32)30.73% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.372 0.37)66.99% (-0.37 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 52.2%
    Red Bull Salzburg 24.76%
    Draw 23.03%
BenficaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.2%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.76%

How you voted: Benfica vs Salzburg

Benfica
82.4%
Draw
10.2%
Red Bull Salzburg
7.4%
176
rhs 2.0
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