Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
17.03% ( -0) | 21.25% ( -0) | 61.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.29% ( 0.01) | 44.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.93% ( 0.01) | 67.08% ( -0.01) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.37% ( -0) | 39.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.69% ( -0) | 76.32% ( 0) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% ( 0.01) | 13.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.57% ( 0.01) | 41.43% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 61.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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