We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Bodo/Glimt have won all three of their home matches during this season's qualifying rounds, but the visitors will undoubtedly present them with a tougher challenge.
In what should be an open, entertaining encounter, we can envisage a score draw, which would provide the Croatian champions with the advantage upon their return home.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.