Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Bodo/Glimt5 - 0Zalgiris
Vetlesen (33' pen.), Pellegrino (36'), Salvesen (58'), Hoibraten (61'), Espejord (90+3')
Wembangomo (52')
Wembangomo (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aalesund 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 16 | 10 | 28 |
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Zalgiris
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 FK Zalgiris
Though they have suffered setbacks on the road to the group stage so far, Bodo/Glimt have performed with a swagger in recent matches and should prove particularly tough to beat in front of their own supporters. While Zalgiris are currently more consistent in terms of results, the hosts' greater European experience should steer them to a useful first-leg lead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
56.8% ( 0.09) | 25.98% ( -0.04) | 17.22% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.04% ( 0.05) | 61.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.3% ( 0.03) | 81.7% ( -0.03) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.05) | 22.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.62% ( 0.08) | 55.37% ( -0.08) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.32% ( -0.04) | 49.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.57% ( -0.03) | 84.43% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Bodo/Glimt 56.79%
FK Zalgiris 17.22%
Draw 25.97%
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 1-0 @ 16.55% 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.22% |
How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Zalgiris
Bodo/Glimt
74.8%Draw
10.1%FK Zalgiris
15.1%139
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2021 5pm
Aug 19, 2021 6pm
Zalgiris
2-2
Bodo/Glimt
Saltnes (49', 54')
Fet (45+1')
Fet (45+1')
Sep 17, 2020 5pm
Bodo/Glimt
3-1
Zalgiris
Antal (26')
Simkus (21'), Karamarko (81')
Simkus (21'), Karamarko (81')
Form Guide
