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Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Ludogorets

Dinamo Zagreb
4 - 2
Ludogorets

Drmic (12'), Orsic (27' pen., 44'), Petkovic (87' pen.)
Ristovski (21'), Misic (21'), Peric (66'), Moharrami (70')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Despodov (45+4', 49' pen.)
Yankov (10'), Rick (45+2'), Simundza (67')
Yankov (17'), Rick (72'), Karnicnik (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

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Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, August 2 at 6.45pm in Champions League
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Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, August 2 at 6.45pm in Champions League
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We said: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad

 With the visitors missing a couple of key players and likely to be forced into chasing the tie at some point, we expect Dinamo Zagreb to progress. The Croatians have superior quality and experience at this level than their forthcoming opponents, and it would be a surprise if they do not use this to their advantage in front of a home crowd, having already secured an away victory against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawLudogorets Razgrad
52.96% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15) 25.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 21.35% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 45.8% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43% (0.194 0.19)56.57% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (0.156 0.16)77.55% (-0.161 -0.16)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.42% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)54.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (0.278 0.28)41.71% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (0.242 0.24)78.18% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 52.95%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 21.35%
    Draw 25.68%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Ludogorets

Dinamo Zagreb
78.4%
Draw
12.5%
Ludogorets Razgrad
9.1%
88
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2022 6.45pm
Ludogorets
1-2
Dinamo Zagreb
Tekpetey (22')
Tekpetey (60'), Verdon (65'), Despodov (74')
Peric (6'), Padt (9' og.)
Misic (42')
rhs 2.0
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