Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje2 - 1Flora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flora 0-5 Celje
Wednesday, July 10 at 5pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 10 at 5pm in Champions League
We said: Celje 3-0 Flora
Based on the first leg of this tie, it seems highly unlikely that we are going to see a comeback from Flora here, and considering they are the away side, this scoreline could turn ugly fast. While Damir Krznar may see this as a good opportunity to give some of his fringe players some playing time, we still expect the hosts to secure a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Flora had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Flora win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celje in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celje.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Flora |
49.56% ( 1.23) | 22.61% ( -0) | 27.83% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.85) | 37.81% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.92) | 60.06% ( 0.92) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.12) | 15.55% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.51% ( 0.22) | 44.48% ( -0.22) |
| Flora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -1.24) | 26% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.98% ( -1.69) | 61.02% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Celje 49.56%
Flora 27.83%
Draw 22.6%
| Celje | Draw | Flora |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.87% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.83% |
How you voted: Celje vs Flora
Celje
76.0%Draw
16.0%Flora
8.0%25
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2024 5pm
