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Champions League
Celje
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele

Celje
2 - 1
Flora

Matko (73' pen.), Karnicnik (76')
Bobicanec (34'), Kouter (43'), Krefl (61'), Dulca (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Varjund (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Celje and Flora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Flora 0-5 Celje
Wednesday, July 10 at 5pm in Champions League

Flora

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Flora 0-5 Celje
Wednesday, July 10 at 5pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celje0nan
2Koper0nan
3Maribor0nan
4Bravo0nan
5Domzale0nan
6Ljubljana0nan
7NS Mura0nan
8Nafta0nan
9Primorje0nan
10Radomlje0nan

We said: Celje 3-0 Flora

 Based on the first leg of this tie, it seems highly unlikely that we are going to see a comeback from Flora here, and considering they are the away side, this scoreline could turn ugly fast. While Damir Krznar may see this as a good opportunity to give some of his fringe players some playing time, we still expect the hosts to secure a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Flora had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Flora win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celje in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celje.

Result
CeljeDrawFlora
49.56% (1.226 1.23) 22.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.83% (-1.22 -1.22)
Both teams to score 62.5% (-0.954 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (-0.85 -0.85)37.81% (0.852 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (-0.916 -0.92)60.06% (0.918 0.92)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.11800000000001 0.12)15.55% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (0.222 0.22)44.48% (-0.218 -0.22)
Flora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-1.235 -1.24)26% (1.236 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (-1.693 -1.69)61.02% (1.694 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Celje 49.56%
    Flora 27.83%
    Draw 22.6%
CeljeDrawFlora
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.333 0.33)
2-0 @ 7% (0.337 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 49.56%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Celje vs Flora

Celje
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
Flora
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2024 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Flora
0-5
Celje

Hussar (37'), Jonne Tougjas (44')
Matko (7'), Vuklisevic (10'), Zabukovnik (45+1'), Aarons (71'), Svetlin (90')
Zabukovnik (89')
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