Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 24, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje1 - 1Slovan Bratislava
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celje 2-1 Bravo
Sunday, July 21 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 21 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Struga 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Champions League
We said: Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Although full of confidence following their smashing of Flora in the previous round, Celje have to be viewed as underdogs for this tie as they come against the Slovakian champions. Slovan Bratislava will be looking to pick up an encouraging result on the road ahead of next week's second leg, and we feel that the Sky Blues will go into that all-important clash holding a one-goal advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
51.63% ( -0.07) | 23.46% ( -0.05) | 24.92% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( 0.33) | 44.22% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( 0.32) | 66.6% ( -0.32) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( 0.09) | 17.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.58% ( 0.17) | 47.41% ( -0.17) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 0.28) | 31.54% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.32) | 67.94% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Celje 51.63%
Slovan Bratislava 24.92%
Draw 23.45%
| Celje | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.92% |
How you voted: Celje vs Slovan Bratislava
Celje
54.5%Draw
18.2%Slovan Bratislava
27.3%11
Form Guide
