Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 14 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
for
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Club Brugge 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund kept the most clean sheets in last season's Champions League (six), but Club Brugge have scored freely this term and have a potent front line with which to test their visitors. The hosts should score, though Dortmund may still leave Belgium with maximum points, having looked pretty solid since Nuri Sahin took over. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.51% ( -2.57) | 22.03% ( 0.4) | 42.46% ( 2.16) |
| Both teams to score 68.84% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.81% ( -2.47) | 31.19% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.39% ( -2.97) | 52.61% ( 2.97) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -2.22) | 18.47% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.34% ( -3.88) | 49.66% ( 3.88) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.2) | 15.57% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.37) | 44.53% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.3)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.51% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.59)2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.46% |
