MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:00:40| >> :60:107:107:
Dortmund logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Aston Villa logo

Dortmund
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Can (33' pen.), Brandt (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Borussia Dortmund and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Aston Villa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Aston Villa

 As Aston Villa try to bed in several new squad members - plus some big stars who have been resting after their international exploits - they may still need time to find the rhythm that took them to fourth place in the Premier League last season. Dortmund have experienced plenty of upheaval too, but home advantage should help the German giants win their final warm-up fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 29.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAston Villa
48.16% (-0.214 -0.21) 21.85% (0.113 0.11) 29.98% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 66.96% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.36% (-0.518 -0.52)32.63% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.69% (-0.603 -0.6)54.3% (0.602 0.6)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)14.12% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)41.76% (0.509 0.51)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.205 -0.2)22.03% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (-0.307 -0.31)55.35% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 48.16%
    Aston Villa 29.98%
    Draw 21.85%
Borussia DortmundDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.98%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Aston Villa

Borussia Dortmund
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Aston Villa
38.5%
26
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