Phonix Lubeck1 - 4Dortmund
Ntika Bondombe (30'), Berger (47')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Phonix Lubeck 1-5 Borussia Dortmund
Although Dortmund are likely to name several less experienced players in their starting XI, their quality should still see them emerge as comfortable victors. It would not be surprising if Sahin's side took an early lead, but Phonix Lubeck will no doubt have moments of threatening play, particularly during set pieces. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 84.39%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Phonix Lubeck had a probability of 6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.91%) and 0-4 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.84%), while for a Phonix Lubeck win it was 2-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Phonix Lubeck | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
6% ( 1.26) | 9.6% ( 1.15) | 84.39% ( -2.41) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( 3.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.24) | 17.92% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.36) | 35.07% ( 0.36) |
| Phonix Lubeck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( 3.75) | 39.17% ( -3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.11% ( 3.34) | 75.88% ( -3.34) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.02% ( -0.32) | 2.98% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 86.55% ( -1.13) | 13.45% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Phonix Lubeck | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.12% Total : 6% | 1-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.48)0-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.27% Total : 9.6% | 0-3 @ 8.44% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 7.41% ( -0.82)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.4)0-5 @ 5.21% ( -0.76)1-5 @ 4.88% ( -0.17)0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.46)2-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.31)0-6 @ 3.05% ( -0.56)1-6 @ 2.86% ( -0.19)2-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.15)0-7 @ 1.53% ( -0.34)1-7 @ 1.43% ( -0.15)2-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.19)Other @ 5.08% Total : 84.39% |
