Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Molde

(Molde win 2-1 on aggregate)

Keskinen (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brynhildsen (50'), Haugen (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between HJK Helsinki and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Ilves
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Molde

All competitions

Last Game: Molde 5-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Molde

HJK will be desperate to make full use of home advantage in the first leg, but we think that they will have to be content with a draw against a Molde side who have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times after winning six and drawing one of their last seven games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Molde
35.88%	26.13% ( 0)	37.99% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.24% (

-0)

50.76% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

-0)

72.65% (

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

-0)

27.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

-0)

62.72% (

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

26.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

61.12% (

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 35.88%

Molde 37.99%

Draw 26.13%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Molde
1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 35.88%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.99%