Despite a fantastic win on home soil last week, HJK may find it tough to hold on to their lead in Norway. Molde enter the fixture still the favourites to progress despite the one-goal deficit, and a substantial improvement on last week's performance should see them qualify. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.

Result
Molde	Draw	HJK Helsinki
64.39% ( 1.43)	19.38% ( -0.6)	16.23% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35% (

1.29)

37.65% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

1.37)

59.89% (

-1.36)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

0.76)

11.04% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.63% (

1.65)

35.37% (

-1.64)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.18)

36.32% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.18)

73.1% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Molde 64.39%

HJK Helsinki 16.23%

Draw 19.38%

Molde	Draw	HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.15) Other @ 4.46% Total : 64.39%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.38%	1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.23%