MX23RW : Thursday, December 26 15:50:53| >> :600:322220:322220:
Larne
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
HJK logo

Larne
2 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Bonis (65' pen.), Thomson (87')
Donnelly (47'), Bonis (73'), Want (110')
FT
(aet)
Ollila (26'), Want (96' og.)
Raitala (64'), Tenho (74'), Ollila (79'), Radulovic (107')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Larne and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)

The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie. The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
29.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.57%
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.26%
    HJK Helsinki 42.19%
    Draw 28.53%
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 13.34%
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-3 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Larne vs HJK Helsinki

Larne
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
HJK Helsinki
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Larne
Radulovic (3' pen.)
Tenho (28')

Bolger (31'), Cosgrove (46'), Want (89'), Donnelly (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Manchester CityMan City188463026428
7Aston Villa178452626028
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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