Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America (2-3 pen.)
Friday, November 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Friday, November 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. America
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. America
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
Result | ||
Club America | Draw | Toluca |
57.69% ( 0.38) | 22.19% ( -0.13) | 20.11% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% ( 0.27) | 44.08% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% ( 0.26) | 66.46% ( -0.26) |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.98% ( 0.22) | 15.01% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.51% ( 0.41) | 43.48% ( -0.4) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.09) | 35.84% ( 0.09) |