We said: Maribor 2-1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Shakhtyor have already tasted competitive action this summer, which could certainly work in their favour against a Maribor side who flattered to deceive in the pre-season period.
The hosts' European pedigree certainly outweighs that of Tashuev's side, who have been far from perfect in the 2022 Belarusian top flight so far, and we have faith in Maribor to travel to Soligorsk with a slender lead in tow.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.