MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:30:09| >> :60:343:343:
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Champions League
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Worthersee Stadion
Leipzig logo

Sturm Graz
vs.
RB Leipzig

Coverage of the Champions League League Stage clash between Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lille 3-2 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Sturm Graz
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: RB Leipzig vs. Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 36.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.3%).

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRB Leipzig
40.42% (-0.453 -0.45) 23.27% (0.067 0.07) 36.3% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 64.13% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.281 -0.28)37.36% (0.277 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (-0.302 -0.3)59.58% (0.299 0.3)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.315 -0.31)18.95% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.526 -0.53)50.46% (0.523 0.52)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.063000000000002 0.06)20.87% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (0.10299999999999 0.1)53.57% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 40.42%
    RB Leipzig 36.3%
    Draw 23.27%
Sturm GrazDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.3%

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