Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta5 - 0Sturm Graz
Retegui (12'), Pasalic (58'), De Ketelaere (63'), Lookman (90'), Brescianini (90+4')
Samardzic (36')
Samardzic (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Lille 3-2 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
40
We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Sturm Graz
While Atalanta's form has recently dipped, they are still a class above Sturm Graz, who will not be helped by a month-long gap between competitive fixtures. With plenty of firepower and European experience, La Dea should score several times and effectively end the Austrian champions' campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sturm Graz |
62.63% ( 0.01) | 20.43% ( -0.01) | 16.94% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0) | 41.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.01) | 63.6% ( -0.01) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( 0) | 12.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.33% ( 0.01) | 38.67% ( -0.02) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.01) | 37.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.58% ( -0.01) | 74.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 62.62%
Sturm Graz 16.94%
Draw 20.43%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 62.62% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.94% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Sturm Graz
Atalanta BC
91.8%Draw
6.0%Sturm Graz
2.2%182
Form Guide
