MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:42:43| >> :120:16272:16272:
Leipzig logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Aston Villa logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Openda (27'), Baumgartner (62')
Henrichs (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGinn (3'), Duran (52'), Barkley (85')
Digne (45'), Carlos (79')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa thrice take the lead to narrowly beat RB Leipzig 3-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday, with super-subs Jhon Duran and Ross Barkley making the difference.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAston Villa
54.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.54% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.0020000000000095 0)15.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.27%
    Aston Villa 23.19%
    Draw 22.54%
RB LeipzigDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa

RB Leipzig
49.1%
Draw
15.9%
Aston Villa
35.0%
283
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 1am
Club Friendlies 3
RB Leipzig
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (17'), Openda (41')
Openda (27')

Carlos (27')
Carlos (42')
Aug 3, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
RB Leipzig
1-3
Aston Villa
Poulsen (28')
Hourihane (16', 82'), McGinn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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