Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Víkingsvöllur
Vikingur3 - 3Malmo
FT(HT: 1-2)
Birmancevic (34'), Beijmo (44'), Christiansen (47')
Kiese Thelin (18'), Nielsen (45+2'), Olsson (60'), Rakip (81')
Kiese Thelin (18'), Nielsen (45+2'), Olsson (60'), Rakip (81')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Varbergs
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 13 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Malmo | 14 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 12 | 12 | 21 |
We said: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-2 Malmo (Malmo win 5-3 on aggregate)
Malmo would have been frustrated not to make their extra man count for more in the first leg, but a fit-again and in-form Christiansen wearing the armband is a recipe for success for the visitors. The Allsvenskan champions can expect a hostile atmosphere at Vikingsvollur, but their recent spate of goal-laden showings can help them end the Vikingur dream, even if the Icelandic hosts can make things interesting with a goal on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Malmo |
28.07% ( -0.04) | 23.56% ( -0.02) | 48.36% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
