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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Víkingsvöllur
Malmo

Vikingur
3 - 3
Malmo

Fridleifur Gunnarsson (15', 74'), Hansen (56')
Orlygur Andrason (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Birmancevic (34'), Beijmo (44'), Christiansen (47')
Kiese Thelin (18'), Nielsen (45+2'), Olsson (60'), Rakip (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Vikingur Reykjavik and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vikingur Reykjavik

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Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Varbergs
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-2 Malmo (Malmo win 5-3 on aggregate)

 Malmo would have been frustrated not to make their extra man count for more in the first leg, but a fit-again and in-form Christiansen wearing the armband is a recipe for success for the visitors. The Allsvenskan champions can expect a hostile atmosphere at Vikingsvollur, but their recent spate of goal-laden showings can help them end the Vikingur dream, even if the Icelandic hosts can make things interesting with a goal on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawMalmo
28.07% (-0.035 -0.04) 23.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 48.36% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.14% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Vikingur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)63.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.034000000000006 0.03)17.61% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.060000000000002 0.06)48.19% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vikingur Reykjavik 28.07%
    Malmo 48.36%
    Draw 23.56%
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.07%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Vikingur vs Malmo

Vikingur Reykjavik
31.0%
Draw
19.0%
Malmo
50.0%
42
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 6pm
Malmo
3-2
Vikingur
Olsson (16'), Toivonen (42'), Birmancevic (84')
Christiansen (13'), Birmancevic (41'), Rakip (66')
Mani Ingason (38'), Gudjonsson (90+3')
Ekroth (23'), Mani Ingason (29'), Orlygur Andrason (32'), Punyed (34'), Ingason (83')
Mani Ingason (39')
rhs 2.0
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