Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
2 - 1
Birmingham

Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Vale (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hogan (81')
Sanderson (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Blackburn look set for an automatic promotion push this season and supporters will be expecting another three points against Birmingham this weekend. Birmingham are in good form but expended a lot of energy to earn a point off Burnley, and with the short turnaround from Wednesday night to Saturday, Blues might struggle to match a dangerous Rovers team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
51.4% ( -0)	26.32% ( 0)	22.28% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.06%

57.93% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36% (

-0)

78.64% (

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

-0)

22.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7% (

-0)

56.3% (

0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

41.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96% (

78.03% (

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 51.39%

Birmingham City 22.28%

Draw 26.31%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.97% 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.73% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.17% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.28%