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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
43.31% ( 0.48) | 26.18% ( -0.19) | 30.51% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( 0.68) | 52.21% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( 0.58) | 73.91% ( -0.58) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( 0.53) | 23.95% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% ( 0.76) | 58.17% ( -0.76) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% ( 0.15) | 31.47% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( 0.17) | 67.85% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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