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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Sunderland

Blackburn
2 - 0
Sunderland

Brereton Diaz (32'), Wharton (49')
Morton (40'), Szmodics (65'), Carter (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pritchard (30'), Cirkin (48'), Bennette (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Sunderland

Blackburn are back on home turf for the first time in three matches and could go top of the Championship with a positive result against Sunderland. Lewis Travis will be a massive miss for the home side, but their firepower and good home form should be enough to collect three points against former manager Mowbray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSunderland
43.31% (0.477 0.48) 26.18% (-0.194 -0.19) 30.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.675 0.68)52.21% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.578 0.58)73.91% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.53400000000001 0.53)23.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.75700000000001 0.76)58.17% (-0.755 -0.76)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.146 0.15)31.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.17 0.17)67.85% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 43.31%
    Sunderland 30.51%
    Draw 26.18%
Blackburn RoversDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Sunderland

Blackburn Rovers
71.6%
Draw
13.4%
Sunderland
14.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2012 8pm
Dec 11, 2011 1.30pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Sunderland
3-0
Blackburn
Bent (19'), Welbeck (11'), Gyan (89')
Ferdinand (79')

Dunn (51'), Biram Diouf (69')
Oct 18, 2010 3pm
Dec 28, 2009 3pm
Blackburn
2-2
Sunderland
Bent (52', 65')
Nosworthy (30'), Meyler (36'), Bardsley (88'), Da Silva (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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