Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mejbri (45+1'), Sanderson (52'), Bielik (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Scott (64'), Kadji (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

With little splitting the two sides, we see this one finishing as a draw. Bristol City are a threat going forward and will have opportunities, but they have shown defensive frailties and are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. As such, Birmingham should be good enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Bristol City
31.3% ( 0.11)	25.72% ( 0.03)	42.98% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 53.94% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.99% (

-0.09)

50.01% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.01% (

-0.09)

71.99% (

0.08)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

0.03)

29.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

0.03)

65.89% (

-0.03)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

-0.11)

23.15% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

-0.16)

57.02% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 31.3%

Bristol City 42.97%

Draw 25.72%

Birmingham City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.3%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.97%