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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mejbri (45+1'), Sanderson (52'), Bielik (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Scott (64'), Kadji (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

With little splitting the two sides, we see this one finishing as a draw. Bristol City are a threat going forward and will have opportunities, but they have shown defensive frailties and are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. As such, Birmingham should be good enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
31.3% (0.112 0.11) 25.72% (0.032 0.03) 42.98% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)50.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.99% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)29.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.111 -0.11)23.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (-0.163 -0.16)57.02% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.3%
    Bristol City 42.97%
    Draw 25.72%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
48.4%
Draw
35.5%
Bristol City
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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