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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Millwall

Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooper (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Millwall

Millwall head into this contest in the better form and will fancy their chances of edging out their hosts. Nevertheless, in a game between two clubs who have just one draw between them this season, we are backing Rovers to bounce back from their latest defeat with success in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.42% (-0.878 -0.88) 26.22% (0.423 0.42) 23.36% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.142 -1.14)56.69% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.927 -0.93)77.65% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)22.56% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-1.294 -1.29)56.16% (1.293 1.29)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)39.78% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-0.191 -0.19)76.45% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.42%
    Millwall 23.36%
    Draw 26.22%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
65.8%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
13.2%
38
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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