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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Millwall

Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooper (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Millwall

Millwall head into this contest in the better form and will fancy their chances of edging out their hosts. Nevertheless, in a game between two clubs who have just one draw between them this season, we are backing Rovers to bounce back from their latest defeat with success in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.42% (-0.878 -0.88) 26.22% (0.423 0.42) 23.36% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.142 -1.14)56.69% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.927 -0.93)77.65% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)22.56% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-1.294 -1.29)56.16% (1.293 1.29)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)39.78% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-0.191 -0.19)76.45% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.42%
    Millwall 23.36%
    Draw 26.22%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
65.8%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
13.2%
38
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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