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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Luton Town

Blackburn
1 - 1
Luton

Carter (86')
Hyam (72'), Szmodics (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lockyer (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Luton Town

Given the winless run that they have recently embarked on, responding with a win over one of the division's form sides will not be easy for Blackburn. Nevertheless, we are backing Rovers to earn a share of the spoils, the bare minimum as they bid to remain relevant in the promotion race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
24.24% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 47.74% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.91% (-0.123 -0.12)62.09% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.2% (-0.09 -0.09)81.8% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.99% (-0.193 -0.19)42.01% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-0.169 -0.17)78.45% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 24.24%
    Luton Town 47.74%
    Draw 28.01%
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 14.74% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.87% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 47.74%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Luton

Blackburn Rovers
Draw
Luton Town
Blackburn Rovers
30.9%
Draw
26.6%
Luton Town
42.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Luton
2-0
Blackburn
Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Morris (41')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Luton
0-0
Blackburn

Bree (29'), Lockyer (47'), Cornick (90+6')

Paul van Hecke (28'), Kaminski (90+6')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-2
Luton
Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Blackburn
1-0
Luton
Armstrong (85')
Travis (50')

Rea (63')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 12
Luton
1-1
Blackburn
Berry (69')
Gallagher (72')
Rothwell (32'), Johnson (71'), (78'), Brereton (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry42189155954563
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City421112194150-945
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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