Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

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Reading
1 - 1
Luton

Carroll (51')
Carroll (15'), Hendrick (34'), Lumley (79'), Holmes (89')
Carroll (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (80')
Doughty (60'), Drameh (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Reading and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Reading 0-2 Luton Town

Having successfully kept out Burnley on Saturday, Hunt will back his Reading side to do the same versus Luton. However, the visitors are more motivated than the nearly-crowned champions, and we feel that Edwards's side will cement their playoff place in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Luton Town
19.68% ( 0.02)	26.04% ( -0.01)	54.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.73% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

0.05)

59.43% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

0.04)

79.8% (

-0.04)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.81% (

0.06)

45.19% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.92% (

0.05)

81.08% (

-0.05)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

0.01)

22.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.02)

55.38% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Reading 19.68%

Luton Town 54.27%

Draw 26.03%

Reading	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.68%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 15.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.27%