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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Blackpool

Luton
3 - 1
Blackpool

Ruddock (45+2', 76'), Morris (72')
Morris (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lyons (29')
Thorniley (42'), Fiorini (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool

Luton are expected to record another slender home victory against an injury-ravaged opponent to claim a fourth straight win at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
61.39% (-0.395 -0.39) 22.32% (0.026 0.03) 16.29% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.522 0.52)50.43% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.459 0.46)72.36% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.045999999999992 0.05)15.95% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (0.8 0.8)43.99% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.649 0.65)80.11% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.39%
    Blackpool 16.29%
    Draw 22.31%
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Luton vs Blackpool

Luton Town
92.0%
Draw
6.0%
Blackpool
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Luton
1-1
Blackpool
Adebayo (2')
Madine (55' pen.)
Dougall (19'), Hamilton (68'), Madine (90+1'), Lavery (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-2
Blackpool
Collins (6'), Cummings (86')
Collins (59')
Collins (61')
Kirby (30'), Virtue-Thick (62')
Delfouneso (50'), Turton (54'), Kirby (67'), Long (96')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston391017123946-747
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Derby CountyDerby39118204251-941
21Hull City391011183948-941
22Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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