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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
35.78% ( -0.12) | 28.35% ( 0.05) | 35.86% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.45% ( -0.19) | 59.54% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.11% ( -0.15) | 79.89% ( 0.14) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.34% ( -0.17) | 31.65% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.93% ( -0.2) | 68.06% ( 0.19) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.06) | 31.6% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -0.06) | 68.01% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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