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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Luton Town

Millwall
0 - 0
Luton


Saville (40')
FT

Doughty (58'), Campbell (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Luton Town

While Luton are in a position where they would likely accept a point from this contest if it was handed to them, that will not be their priority. Millwall are tough to beat at The Den, yet we feel that the Hatters will battle their way to maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLuton Town
35.78% (-0.115 -0.12) 28.35% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 35.86% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.19 -0.19)59.54% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.146 -0.15)79.89% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)31.65% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.196 -0.2)68.06% (0.193 0.19)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.063999999999997 -0.06)68.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 35.78%
    Luton Town 35.86%
    Draw 28.35%
MillwallDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.86%

How you voted: Millwall vs Luton

Millwall
29.9%
Draw
14.9%
Luton Town
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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