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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Luton Town

Millwall
0 - 0
Luton


Saville (40')
FT

Doughty (58'), Campbell (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Luton Town

While Luton are in a position where they would likely accept a point from this contest if it was handed to them, that will not be their priority. Millwall are tough to beat at The Den, yet we feel that the Hatters will battle their way to maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLuton Town
35.78% (-0.115 -0.12) 28.35% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 35.86% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.19 -0.19)59.54% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.146 -0.15)79.89% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)31.65% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.196 -0.2)68.06% (0.193 0.19)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.063999999999997 -0.06)68.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 35.78%
    Luton Town 35.86%
    Draw 28.35%
MillwallDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.86%

How you voted: Millwall vs Luton

Millwall
29.9%
Draw
14.9%
Luton Town
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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