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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Luton Town

Rotherham
0 - 2
Luton


Hjelde (36'), Quina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (45'), Woodrow (47')
Burke (37'), Campbell (61'), Drameh (78'), Nakamba (90'), Ruddock (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Luton Town

Rotherham United have shown themselves to be tough to beat in recent weeks and will certainly make things difficult for their third-placed visitors, but we see the in-form Hatters having enough quality to get over the line at the New York Stadium and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
28.21% (0.406 0.41) 27.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 44.15% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.386 0.39)58.65% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.3 0.3)79.2% (-0.298 -0.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.541 0.54)36.61% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.539 0.54)73.4% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 28.21%
    Luton Town 44.15%
    Draw 27.63%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Luton

Rotherham United
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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