Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham
0 - 2
Luton

Hjelde (36'), Quina (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morris (45'), Woodrow (47')
Burke (37'), Campbell (61'), Drameh (78'), Nakamba (90'), Ruddock (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Luton Town

Rotherham United have shown themselves to be tough to beat in recent weeks and will certainly make things difficult for their third-placed visitors, but we see the in-form Hatters having enough quality to get over the line at the New York Stadium and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Luton Town
28.21% ( 0.41)	27.63% ( -0.06)	44.15% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

0.39)

58.65% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

0.3)

79.2% (

-0.3)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.39% (

0.54)

36.61% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.6% (

0.54)

73.4% (

-0.54)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58%

26.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42% (

-0)

61.58% (

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 28.21%

Luton Town 44.15%

Draw 27.63%

Rotherham United	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.21%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.15%