Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2023 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Berry (78'), Bell (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Archer (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Middlesbrough

While this is a key fixture for both sides, there may be acknowledgement that solidifying their current spots is more important than making an unlikely bid to topple the Blades. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out between two strong teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
43.18% ( -0.43)	24.89% ( 0.23)	31.93% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 56.98% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.82% (

-0.98)

46.18% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

-0.93)

68.47% (

0.93)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

-0.61)

21.41% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.58% (

-0.94)

54.42% (

0.94)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.36)

27.49% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

-0.46)

62.99% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 43.18%

Middlesbrough 31.93%

Draw 24.89%

Luton Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.93%