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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Millwall logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Millwall

Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cresswell (18'), Hutchinson (35'), Voglsammer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 2-0 Millwall

Milwall have looked timid and afraid when playing on the road, failing to score in seven league fixtures away from home last season, and without a goal in three matches this month in all competitions as the visitors. The Clarets have had plenty of success versus Millwall over the past decade and have started burying more and more of their chances with eight goals in their past two domestic encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawMillwall
58.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62%79.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 58.6%
    Millwall 17.93%
    Draw 23.46%
BurnleyDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs Millwall

Burnley
78.7%
Draw
11.2%
Millwall
10.1%
89
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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