Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 0
Millwall

Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cresswell (18'), Hutchinson (35'), Voglsammer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Wigan 1-5 Burnley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Rotherham United	5	6	9
6	Burnley	6	4	9
7	Watford	6	1	9

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Reading
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	West Bromwich Albion	6	2	7
16	Millwall	6	-2	7
17	Stoke City	6	-2	7

Milwall have looked timid and afraid when playing on the road, failing to score in seven league fixtures away from home last season, and without a goal in three matches this month in all competitions as the visitors. The Clarets have had plenty of success versus Millwall over the past decade and have started burying more and more of their chances with eight goals in their past two domestic encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Millwall
58.61% ( -0.01)	23.46% ( 0)	17.93% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.61% (

-0.01)

52.39% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92% (

-0)

74.07% (

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

-0)

17.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.8% (

-0.01)

48.2% (

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9% (

-0)

43.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.62%

79.37% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Burnley 58.6%

Millwall 17.93%

Draw 23.46%

Burnley	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 58.6%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.93%