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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Rotherham United | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 9 |
7 | Watford | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | West Bromwich Albion | 6 | 2 | 7 |
16 | Millwall | 6 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Stoke City | 6 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Millwall |
58.61% ( -0.01) | 23.46% ( 0) | 17.93% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.61% ( -0.01) | 52.39% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.92% ( -0) | 74.07% ( 0) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.38% ( -0) | 17.61% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.8% ( -0.01) | 48.2% ( 0) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.9% ( -0) | 43.1% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.62% | 79.37% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 58.6% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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