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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Millwall

Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Millwall

Tuesday's win could trigger a hot run of form for Norwich, and they have the quality to hurt any side in the league, but we anticipate a tough test against a resilient Millwall outfit. Rowett's men have shown their steel so far this season and could do enough to leave Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.95% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)24.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.04%
    Millwall 28.4%
    Draw 26.55%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
65.3%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
11.8%
170
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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