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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Oxford United

Blackburn
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Oxford Utd
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Oxford United

With Blackburn still adapting to life with Szmodics, Oxford may sense an opportunity to strike. However, we are still backing the free-scoring home side to come through with an hard-earned three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
42.38% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 25.7% (0.135 0.14) 31.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.617 -0.62)49.69% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.555 -0.56)71.7% (0.554 0.55)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)23.3% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (-0.407 -0.41)57.24% (0.406 0.41)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.383 -0.38)29.23% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.473 -0.47)65.19% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.38%
    Oxford United 31.92%
    Draw 25.7%
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Oxford Utd

Blackburn Rovers
69.4%
Draw
19.4%
Oxford United
11.3%
62
Head to Head
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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