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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Oxford United

Blackburn
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Oxford Utd
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Oxford United

With Blackburn still adapting to life with Szmodics, Oxford may sense an opportunity to strike. However, we are still backing the free-scoring home side to come through with an hard-earned three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
42.38% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 25.7% (0.135 0.14) 31.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.617 -0.62)49.69% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.555 -0.56)71.7% (0.554 0.55)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)23.3% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (-0.407 -0.41)57.24% (0.406 0.41)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.383 -0.38)29.23% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.473 -0.47)65.19% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.38%
    Oxford United 31.92%
    Draw 25.7%
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Oxford Utd

Blackburn Rovers
69.4%
Draw
19.4%
Oxford United
11.3%
62
Head to Head
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Bristol City216962626027
11Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
18Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
19Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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