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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
42.38% ( -0.02) | 25.7% ( 0.14) | 31.92% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( -0.62) | 49.69% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( -0.56) | 71.7% ( 0.55) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.7% ( -0.28) | 23.3% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.76% ( -0.41) | 57.24% ( 0.41) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -0.38) | 29.23% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( -0.47) | 65.19% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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