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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Blackburn logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Blackburn


Fernandez (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United suffer a 1-0 defeat to Blackburn Rovers, their first defeat at Elland Road all season, to miss out on moving back into the Championship automatic promotion spots.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 5-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
69.27% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 17.75% (0.0019999999999989 0) 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)37.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.32% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)9.68% (-0.00089999999999968 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)76.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 69.27%
    Blackburn Rovers 12.97%
    Draw 17.75%
Leeds UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.52%
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 69.27%
1-1 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.75%
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.54%
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 12.97%

How you voted: Leeds vs Blackburn

Leeds United
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Blackburn Rovers
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
3-2
Blackburn
Williams (33' og.), Roofe (91', 94')
Douglas (77'), Phillips (89')
Mulgrew (47' pen., 90')
Rodwell (44'), Lenihan (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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