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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
2 - 2
Sunderland

Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Roberts (59'), Evans (61'), Bennette (88'), Matete (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Sunderland will feel confident about taking advantage of what appears to be a lack of confidence and harmony in the Watford ranks. However, the Hornets still possess quality players, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
45.21% (-3.311 -3.31) 26.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 28.46% (3.349 3.35)
Both teams to score 50.55% (2.629 2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (2.171 2.17)53.71% (-2.171 -2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (1.796 1.8)75.2% (-1.797 -1.8)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-0.608 -0.61)23.68% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (-0.885 -0.88)57.79% (0.884 0.88)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (3.94 3.94)33.77% (-3.943 -3.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (4.056 4.06)70.43% (-4.057 -4.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.21%
    Sunderland 28.46%
    Draw 26.32%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.52% (-1.24 -1.24)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-1.059 -1.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.589 -0.59)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.705 -0.71)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.44 0.44)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.721 0.72)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.575 0.58)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.484 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.323 0.32)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.36 0.36)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
42.9%
Draw
31.4%
Sunderland
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Feb 12, 2005 3pm
Sunderland
4-2
Watford
Stewart (18', 51', 33' pen.), Brown (73')

Jackson (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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