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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
2 - 2
Sunderland

Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Roberts (59'), Evans (61'), Bennette (88'), Matete (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Sunderland will feel confident about taking advantage of what appears to be a lack of confidence and harmony in the Watford ranks. However, the Hornets still possess quality players, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
45.21% (-3.311 -3.31) 26.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 28.46% (3.349 3.35)
Both teams to score 50.55% (2.629 2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (2.171 2.17)53.71% (-2.171 -2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (1.796 1.8)75.2% (-1.797 -1.8)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-0.608 -0.61)23.68% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (-0.885 -0.88)57.79% (0.884 0.88)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (3.94 3.94)33.77% (-3.943 -3.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (4.056 4.06)70.43% (-4.057 -4.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.21%
    Sunderland 28.46%
    Draw 26.32%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.52% (-1.24 -1.24)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-1.059 -1.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.589 -0.59)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.705 -0.71)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.44 0.44)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.721 0.72)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.575 0.58)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.484 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.323 0.32)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.36 0.36)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
42.9%
Draw
31.4%
Sunderland
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Feb 12, 2005 3pm
Sunderland
4-2
Watford
Stewart (18', 51', 33' pen.), Brown (73')

Jackson (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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