Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
2 - 0
Cardiff

Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Swansea City	5	-4	5
20	Bristol City	4	0	4
21	Stoke City	5	-3	4

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Norwich City	5	1	7
8	Cardiff City	4	1	7
9	Preston North End	5	1	7

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

We anticipate a tense affair at Ashton Gate on Sunday, with limited chances as both sides aim to avoid a derby-day defeat. Bristol City will have more confidence after breaking their winless run last time out, but they face a tough test against a Cardiff side who have enjoyed a positive start, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
41.8% ( 2.2)	26.75% ( 0.32)	31.45% ( -2.52)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.86% (

-1.91)

54.14% (

1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44% (

-1.62)

75.56% (

1.62)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

0.29)

25.57% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

0.4)

60.44% (

-0.4)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

-2.64)

31.8% (

2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.77% (

-3.13)

68.24% (

3.14)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 41.8%

Cardiff City 31.45%

Draw 26.75%

Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.45%