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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Swansea City | 5 | -4 | 5 |
20 | Bristol City | 4 | 0 | 4 |
21 | Stoke City | 5 | -3 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Norwich City | 5 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Cardiff City | 4 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Preston North End | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
41.8% ( 2.2) | 26.75% ( 0.32) | 31.45% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( -1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.86% ( -1.91) | 54.14% ( 1.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.44% ( -1.62) | 75.56% ( 1.62) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( 0.29) | 25.57% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( 0.4) | 60.44% ( -0.4) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( -2.64) | 31.8% ( 2.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% ( -3.13) | 68.24% ( 3.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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