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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
2 - 0
Cardiff

Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

We anticipate a tense affair at Ashton Gate on Sunday, with limited chances as both sides aim to avoid a derby-day defeat. Bristol City will have more confidence after breaking their winless run last time out, but they face a tough test against a Cardiff side who have enjoyed a positive start, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
41.8% (2.197 2.2) 26.75% (0.323 0.32) 31.45% (-2.519 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.755 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-1.908 -1.91)54.14% (1.91 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-1.62 -1.62)75.56% (1.622 1.62)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.294 0.29)25.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (0.40000000000001 0.4)60.44% (-0.399 -0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-2.637 -2.64)31.8% (2.639 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-3.133 -3.13)68.24% (3.135 3.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.8%
    Cardiff City 31.45%
    Draw 26.75%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.89 0.89)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.665 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.328 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.589 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.402 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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