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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
2 - 0
Cardiff

Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

We anticipate a tense affair at Ashton Gate on Sunday, with limited chances as both sides aim to avoid a derby-day defeat. Bristol City will have more confidence after breaking their winless run last time out, but they face a tough test against a Cardiff side who have enjoyed a positive start, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
41.8% (2.197 2.2) 26.75% (0.323 0.32) 31.45% (-2.519 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.755 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-1.908 -1.91)54.14% (1.91 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-1.62 -1.62)75.56% (1.622 1.62)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.294 0.29)25.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (0.40000000000001 0.4)60.44% (-0.399 -0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-2.637 -2.64)31.8% (2.639 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-3.133 -3.13)68.24% (3.135 3.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.8%
    Cardiff City 31.45%
    Draw 26.75%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.89 0.89)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.665 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.328 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.589 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.402 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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