Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 2
Bristol City

Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sheffield United	9	12	20
2	Norwich City	8	6	16
3	Blackburn Rovers	9	0	15

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Blackburn 2-3 Bristol City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Burnley	9	6	14
6	Bristol City	8	5	14
7	Watford	9	0	13

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol City

As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Bristol City
55.1% ( 0.61)	22.68% ( 0.06)	22.22% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44% (

-1.04)

43.56% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05% (

-1.03)

65.95% (

1.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

-0.16)

15.7% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.24% (

-0.29)

44.76% (

0.29)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-1.17)

33.5% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86% (

-1.31)

70.14% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 55.1%

Bristol City 22.22%

Draw 22.67%

Norwich City	Draw	Bristol City
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.1%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.22%