Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Derby0 - 0Middlesbrough
The Match
Match Report
Goalkeepeers Kelle Roos and Joe Lumley ensured defences came out on top at Pride Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 30.98% | 27.58% | 41.43% |
| Both teams to score 48.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.56% | 57.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.75% | 78.25% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% | 33.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% | 27.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% | 62.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 30.98%
Middlesbrough 41.43%
Draw 27.58%
| Derby County | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.43% |
How you voted: Derby vs Middlesbrough
Derby County
58.8%Draw
17.6%Middlesbrough
23.5%17
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
2-1
Middlesbrough
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Middlesbrough
3-0
Derby
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Middlesbrough
2-2
Derby
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
