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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
55.35% ( -0.29) | 20.59% ( 0.06) | 24.06% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 66.1% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.54% ( -0.01) | 31.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.07% ( -0.01) | 52.93% ( 0.01) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% ( -0.08) | 11.55% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.51% ( -0.18) | 36.48% ( 0.18) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( 0.17) | 25.26% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.98% ( 0.24) | 60.02% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.35% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |