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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Ipswich
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Luongo (30')
Luongo (49'), Travis (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Latte Lath (20')
Howson (57'), Ayling (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Middlesbrough having put together a prolonged unbeaten run, they will fancy their chances of getting the better of a team under increasing pressure. However, we are backing the home side to get back on track in what could turn into a scrappy contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
55.35% (-0.292 -0.29) 20.59% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 24.06% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 66.1% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)11.55% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (-0.179 -0.18)36.48% (0.182 0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.17399999999999 0.17)25.26% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.238 0.24)60.02% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 55.35%
    Middlesbrough 24.06%
    Draw 20.59%
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Middlesbrough

Ipswich Town
Draw
Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Middlesbrough
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Middlesbrough
0-2
Ipswich

Crooks (51')
Chaplin (36'), Hutchinson (67')
Woolfenden (63'), Morsy (90+5'), Ball (90')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Middlesbrough
2-0
Ipswich
Hugill (37' pen.), Tavernier (72')
Tavernier (65')

Chalobah (19'), Downes (40')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ipswich
0-2
Middlesbrough
Besic (12'), Downing (16')
May 6, 2018 12.30pm
Ipswich
2-2
Middlesbrough
Sears (8'), Waghorn (83' pen.)
Skuse (12'), Nydam (45'), Sears (45')
Downing (71'), Bamford (90')
Gibson (90')
Dec 9, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry42189155954563
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City421112194150-945
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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