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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
25.81% ( 0.01) | 25.6% ( 0.04) | 48.58% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% ( -0.16) | 52.47% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( -0.14) | 74.14% ( 0.14) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% ( -0.08) | 35.24% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( -0.09) | 71.99% ( 0.09) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% ( -0.09) | 21.61% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.28% ( -0.13) | 54.72% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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