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Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Middlesbrough

FT(HT: 0-1)
McGree (17')
Howson (23'), Latte Lath (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Birmingham are in desperate need of three points, and we reckon that a fired-up atmosphere at St Andrew's could help the hosts to victory. Middlesbrough have been impressive in recent matches, but another match on the road in the space of four days might prove too much for Carrick's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.055 0.05)44.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)66.69% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)54.09% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.48%
    Middlesbrough 41.93%
    Draw 24.59%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
39.3%
Draw
16.2%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham
Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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