Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Middlesbrough

FT(HT: 0-1)

McGree (17')
Howson (23'), Latte Lath (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Birmingham are in desperate need of three points, and we reckon that a fired-up atmosphere at St Andrew's could help the hosts to victory. Middlesbrough have been impressive in recent matches, but another match on the road in the space of four days might prove too much for Carrick's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Middlesbrough
33.48% ( -0)	24.59% ( -0.01)	41.93% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

0.05)

44.31% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

0.05)

66.69% (

-0.05)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

0.02)

25.63% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

0.03)

60.53% (

-0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

0.03)

21.2% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.91% (

0.05)

54.09% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 33.48%

Middlesbrough 41.93%

Draw 24.59%

Birmingham City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.48%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.93%